Long term survival following a medical emergency team call at an Australian regional hospital.

Abstract

Objective: To investigate the long term survival of medical emergency team (MET) patients at an Australian regional hospital and describe associated patient and MET call characteristics. Design: Retrospective cohort study. Data linkage to the statewide death registry was performed to allow for long term survival analysis, including multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression and production of Kaplan-Meier survival curves. Setting: A large Australian regional hospital. Participants: Adult patients who received a MET call from 1 July 2012 to 3 March 2020. Main outcome measures: Survival to 30, 90 and 180 days; one year; and 5-years after index MET call. Results: The study included 6499 eligible patients. The cohort median age was 71 years, and 52.4% of the patients were female. Surgical (39.6%) and medical (36.9%) patients comprised most of the cohort. Thirty-day survival was 86.5% one-year survival was 66.1%. Among patients aged < 75 years, factors independently associated with significantly higher long term mortality included age (hazard ratio [HR], 3.26 [95% CI, 2.63-4.06]; for patients aged 65-74 v 18-54 years), male sex (HR, 0.71 [95% CI, 0.61-0.83]; for females) and pre-existing limitation of medical therapy (HR, 2.76; 95% CI, 2.28-3.35). Among patients aged ≥ 75 years, factors independently associated with significantly higher long term mortality included age (HR, 1.46 [95% CI, 1.29-1.65]; for patients aged ≥ 85 years), male sex (HR, 0.74 [95% CI, 0.66-0.83]; for females), and altered MET criteria (HR, 1.33; 95% CI, 1.03-1.71). Conclusions: Long term survival probabilities of MET call patients are affected by factors including age, sex, and limitation of medical therapy status. These data may be useful for clinicians conducting end-of-life discussions with patients.